Progress and the leadership of the future

People often say our soci­ety is get­ting dumber, more infan­tile and more immoral. I’d even say it’s the most pop­u­lar view among ordi­nary people. Yet plenty of research says the opposite. We’re get­ting health­ier, better edu­cated and smarter. Steven Pinker, for exam­ple, talks about this in a pop­u­lar TED talk, citing statistics. True, he doesn’t really explain why it’s happening. So the facts are there, but most people believe the opposite.

I’ve come up with a few pos­si­ble rea­sons for this.

1. The media and social media have incen­tives to present a dis­torted pic­ture of reality. This applies more to social media, and they’ve already dragged tra­di­tional media down the same slip­pery slope. The media strug­gle to find ways to make money, get hooked on traf­fic and get drawn into a war for the lead in moral panic.

2. Progress has no advocates. Nobody will vote for you if your polit­i­cal slogan is “Everything’s fine, we keep work­ing our fuck­ing asses off, and maybe things will be easier for our great-grandchildren, but don’t quote me on that”. Political rhetoric is always built on set­ting your­self against the estab­lish­ment and crit­i­ciz­ing the exist­ing order.

3. A con­ser­v­a­tive atti­tude to the world let us sur­vive and evolve. Those who weren’t afraid of the unfa­mil­iar and didn’t find it dis­gust­ing didn’t survive. Conditions have changed, and poi­so­nous snakes no longer lie in wait for us in the tall grass, but the brain changes much more slowly than living con­di­tions and hasn’t had time to adapt. The feel­ing that soci­ety is grow­ing more immoral comes from the same place, I think.

4. Technology arrived too fast. The speed of tech­no­log­i­cal progress, and of the changes in how soci­ety is orga­nized that follow from it, out­paces our abil­ity to adapt psy­cho­log­i­cally to new conditions. The result is stress and con­fu­sion about how to sur­vive in the new world. And the media and social net­works cash in on this, making the prob­lem worse.

What do we do about it?

We need a new dis­course and new leaders. Leadership in the style of Greta Thunberg is a belch from the old world. She says “you’re all fuck­ing awful, shame on you!”.

The new lead­ers will help us cope with progress, cybor­giza­tion and changes in the forms of employ­ment with­out con­dem­na­tion and mor­al­iz­ing, with care and an under­stand­ing of the sit­u­a­tion a person finds them­selves in. The new leader will tell you:

“You’re fine. The world isn’t going to hell, it only seems that way to you. I know every­one around you says the same. It seems that way to them too. Like the lurch in your stom­ach on a roller coaster. You’re on a roller coaster all the time, that’s just how it turned out. You’ll have to learn to live with it.”

The new lead­ers will remem­ber the hard­ships pre­vi­ous gen­er­a­tions went through and will stop deny­ing what they achieved. Rejecting tra­di­tions is nec­es­sary for fast social change, but we risk throw­ing the baby out with the bathwater. The new leader has a long memory and respect for the giants. He builds his rhetoric on grat­i­tude to his ances­tors and an under­stand­ing of their role in history. To change the world, you need firm ground to stand on. The grow­ing pop­u­lar­ity of con­ser­v­a­tive ide­olo­gies shows that soci­ety is asking for this.